Madrid · Yokohama · 8–11 Oct
Nine points on four selections across two tours. Both events start on Thursday, the Open de España at 06:00 Irish time.
Open de España
Outright, each way
No win this year but nine top tens, including tied fourth at the PGA Championship and the Tour Championship. Closed with a 66 in France, and Rahm’s withdrawal makes him a clear favourite.
Open de España
Outright, each way
Tied 11th at the Dunhill Links last week after a Saturday 63, one shot outside the places. Tied second at the British Masters this season, and still without a DP World Tour win.
Baycurrent Classic
Outright, each way
Third at the Tour Championship and a winner at the Barracuda Championship last year. Opened 67-65 at the Open de France, three off the lead, and finished tied 14th.
Baycurrent Classic
Outright, each way
Second at the Scottish Open, tied second at Pebble Beach and tied fourth at the Tour Championship, with 1.5 points from Saturday’s matches at the Presidents Cup.
Jon Rahm withdrew from the Open de España on Tuesday, which leaves Ludvig Åberg a clear favourite, with Shane Lowry next at 14/1. The Baycurrent Classic is an invitational for 72 players with no cut, so there is no missed cut to lose an each-way stake on. All four bets are each way: ten places at 1/5 in Madrid and six places at 1/5 in Yokohama.
Open de España · 10 places at 1/5
Åberg has not won this year, but he has nine top tens, including tied fourth at the PGA Championship, the Heritage and the Tour Championship and tied ninth at the Open. At the Open de France he shot 71, 66, 69 and 66 for tied 11th, one shot outside the top ten. With Rahm out, nobody in the field is close to him in the betting. The stake is 1.5 points each way rather than two, because at 13/2 the place part pays only 1.1 points for every point staked. A top ten without a win roughly breaks even, so this is a bet on the win part.
Open de España · 10 places at 1/5
Skov Olesen was tied fifth with a round to play at the Dunhill Links after a Saturday 63, then closed with a 73 to finish tied 11th, one shot outside the ten places. He was tied second at the British Masters earlier this season and tied seventh at the Irish Open, and is still without a DP World Tour win. At 25/1 he is a bigger price than last week’s 22/1, with the same ten places at 1/5.
Baycurrent Classic · 6 places at 1/5
Gerard won the Barracuda Championship last July and was third at the Tour Championship in August. At the Open de France he opened 67 and 65 to sit three behind Matt Fitzpatrick after two rounds, then shot 72 and 70 to finish tied 14th. The position was there, and the weekend was not. With no cut and six places at 1/5, 18/1 is a fair price.
Baycurrent Classic · 6 places at 1/5
Lee was second at the Genesis Scottish Open and tied second at Pebble Beach, and tied third at the Houston Open. A tied 59th at the Open, then tied 55th and tied 47th in the first two playoff events, was followed by a tied fourth at the Tour Championship. At the Presidents Cup he took 1.5 points on Saturday and lost his singles to Jacob Bridgeman. That is enough form for 22/1 with six places.
Xander Schauffele, the defending champion, heads the Baycurrent Classic betting and is the only player in single figures. At that price six places at 1/5 pay little, so he is left out.
Prices are BoyleSports’ on Tuesday 6 October, with ten places at 1/5 in Madrid and six places at 1/5 in Yokohama. Each-way stakes are per part, so the four bets are nine points in all. Stakes are in points, and all four are settled on the record.